Tennis · Challenger Seville · 11/09, 20:15

Prediction: Max Alcala Gurri vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Team pages: Max Alcala Gurri · Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Max Alcala Gurri Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Max Alcala Gurri 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLLLWWL
Genaro Alberto Olivieri 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Max Alcala Gurri 1531 · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1526
Max Alcala GurriGenaro Alberto Olivieri
Our model51%49%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Max Alcala GurriGenaro Alberto Olivieri
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 67% (9) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.3-1
Games (G-P)11.6-1011.3-9.7
Aces1.51.1
Double faults2.40.7
1st serve %65.1%62.1%
Break %46.3%39.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Max Alcala Gurri

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Pavel Lagutin
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-1 19-15 W
08/09 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
02/09 Facundo Mena
Challenger Porto · Clay
1-2 8-12 L
25/08 Zsombor Piros
US Open · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
10/08 Eduardo Ribeiro
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
23/07 Dylan Dietrich
Challenger Zug · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
21/07 Martin Krumich
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-1 18-12 W
19/07 Federico Bondioli
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
18/07 Gonzalo Villanueva
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-1 17-13 W
17/07 Franco Roncadelli
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Tiago Pereira
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
07/09 Dali Blanch
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-1 15-10 W
01/09 Niels Visker
Challenger Porto · Clay
1-2 19-20 L
26/08 Tomas Barrios Vera
US Open · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
24/08 Guy Den Ouden
US Open · Hard
2-1 18-16 W
30/07 Vilius Gaubas
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Carlos Taberner
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
21/07 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
20/07 Marcel Zielinski
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
19/07 Jeri Lassila
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Max Alcala Gurri vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri?

Our model gives 57% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.