Tennis · Challenger Seville · 11/09, 20:15
Prediction: Henrique Rocha vs Dusan Lajovic
Team pages: Henrique Rocha · Dusan Lajovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Henrique Rocha
Dusan Lajovic
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Henrique Rocha
6-4 (W-L)
Dusan Lajovic
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Henrique Rocha
1–0
Dusan Lajovic
(1 last)
- 04 Jun2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henrique Rocha 1508 · Dusan Lajovic 1512
| Henrique Rocha | Dusan Lajovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Henrique Rocha 1–0 Dusan Lajovic (1).
Statistics
| Henrique Rocha | Dusan Lajovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.3 | 12.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Henrique Rocha 1 – 0 Dusan Lajovic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Henrique Rocha 1–0 Dusan Lajovic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/26 Challenger Perugia | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henrique Rocha
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Mmoh US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Seong Chan Hong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Martin Damm ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Dusan Lajovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Martin Landaluce Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Coleman Wong US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | David Jorda Sanchis US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 08/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 07/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henrique Rocha vs Dusan Lajovic?
Our model gives 52% to Henrique Rocha, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.