Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 10/09, 10:00
Prediction: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Gustavo Heide
Team pages: Diego Dedura-Palomero · Gustavo Heide
Prediction summary
Winner
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Gustavo Heide
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Diego Dedura-Palomero
6-4 (W-L)
Gustavo Heide
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diego Dedura-Palomero 1567 · Gustavo Heide 1522
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Gustavo Heide | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diego Dedura-Palomero (rating 1567 vs 1522).
- Diego Dedura-Palomero is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Gustavo Heide makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Gustavo Heide | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.1 | 10.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 32.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Frederico Ferreira Silva US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Dominik Recek Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Gustavo Heide
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Joel Schwaerzler US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 17/08 | Harold Mayot Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Gustavo Heide?
Our model gives 54% to Gustavo Heide, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.