Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 10/09, 10:00
Prediction: Joao Lucas Reis da Silva vs Thiago Monteiro
Team pages: Joao Lucas Reis da Silva · Thiago Monteiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Thiago Monteiro
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
4-6 (W-L)
Thiago Monteiro
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 1455 · Thiago Monteiro 1566
| Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | Thiago Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Monteiro (rating 1455 vs 1566).
- Thiago Monteiro is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | Thiago Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-12 | 13.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 31.5% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Alex Molcan Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Thiago Monteiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 04/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 31/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Lucas Reis da Silva vs Thiago Monteiro?
Our model gives 71% to Thiago Monteiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.