Tennis · Challenger Seville · 10/09, 10:00
Prediction: Henrique Rocha vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Team pages: Henrique Rocha · Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Prediction summary
Winner
Henrique Rocha
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Henrique Rocha
5-5 (W-L)
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henrique Rocha 1490 · Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 1562
| Henrique Rocha | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (rating 1490 vs 1562).
- Santiago Rodriguez Taverna is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Henrique Rocha | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12 | 13.1-12 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 35.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henrique Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Mmoh US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Seong Chan Hong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Martin Damm ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 06/09 | Adam Martin Espinar Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Karim Bennani Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henrique Rocha vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna?
Our model gives 64% to Henrique Rocha, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.