Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer
Team pages: Juan Manuel La Serna · Lukas Neumayer
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel La Serna
Lukas Neumayer
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel La Serna
7-3 (W-L)
Lukas Neumayer
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel La Serna 1534 · Lukas Neumayer 1518
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11 | 10.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel La Serna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Hynek Barton Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Lukas Neumayer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Coleman Wong US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | James McCabe US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexander Weis Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Marko Topo ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Mili Poljicak ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer?
Our model gives 59% to Lukas Neumayer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.