Prediction: Matilde Paoletti vs Diletta Cherubini
Team pages: Matilde Paoletti · Diletta Cherubini
Prediction summary
Winner
Matilde Paoletti
Diletta Cherubini
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Matilde Paoletti
7-3 (W-L)
Diletta Cherubini
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matilde Paoletti
0–1
Diletta Cherubini
(1 last)
- 13 Jul1-2 11-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matilde Paoletti 1544 · Diletta Cherubini 1483
| Matilde Paoletti | Diletta Cherubini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matilde Paoletti (rating 1544 vs 1483).
- Head-to-head: Matilde Paoletti 0–1 Diletta Cherubini (1).
Statistics
| Matilde Paoletti | Diletta Cherubini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.4 | 9-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 54.1% |
| Break % | 61.2% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Matilde Paoletti 0 – 1 Diletta Cherubini (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matilde Paoletti 0–1 Diletta Cherubini
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/22 ITF W60 Rome | 1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Paoletti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Sophie Greiner W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Gabriela Ce W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Mia Ristic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Elena Milutinovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/08 | Despina Papamichail W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 10/08 | Kristina Novak W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Ekaterina Perelygina W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 23/06 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
Diletta Cherubini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Neus Torner Sensano W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/09 | Fiona Ferro W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Vivian Wolff W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Diana Martynov W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Josy Daems W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Tilwith Di Girolami W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Daria Yesypchuk W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Viola Turini W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Lea Boskovic W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Gina Feistel WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matilde Paoletti vs Diletta Cherubini?
Our model gives 67% to Matilde Paoletti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.