Tennis · W35 Reus · 11/09, 11:30

Prediction: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Francesca Pace

Team pages: Carlota Martinez Cirez · Francesca Pace

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Carlota Martinez Cirez Francesca Pace
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Carlota Martinez Cirez 7-3 (W-L)
WWLLWWWLWW
Francesca Pace 7-3 (W-L)
WWLLWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carlota Martinez Cirez 1513 · Francesca Pace 1588
Carlota Martinez CirezFrancesca Pace
Our model39%61%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Pace (rating 1513 vs 1588).
  • Francesca Pace is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Carlota Martinez Cirez makes many double faults (5.3/match).
  • Note: Francesca Pace makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Carlota Martinez CirezFrancesca Pace
Win %50%80%
Win % · Clay 75% (4) 100% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.6-0.6
Games (G-P)11.5-10.811.7-9.1
Aces0.21.4
Double faults5.34.5
1st serve %58.6%62.5%
Break %62.1%53.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carlota Martinez Cirez

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Ruth Roura Llaverias
W35 Reus · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
09/09 Min Liu
W35 Reus · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
03/09 Anastasija Cvetkovic
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
02/09 Valeria Garnevska
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
26/08 Beatrise Zeltina
W50 Oldenzaal
1-2 16-19 L
12/08 Lucie Petruzelova
W35 Bydgoszcz
1-2 9-16 L
29/07 Margaux Maquet
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 5-12 L
23/07 Nuria Brancaccio
W75 Cordenons
0-2 5-12 L
22/07 Lavinia Tanasie
W75 Cordenons
2-1 16-8 W
21/07 Amandine Monnot
W75 Cordenons
2-1 19-13 W

Francesca Pace

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Iva Primorac Pavicic
W35 Reus · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
09/09 Nahia Berecoechea
W35 Reus · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
05/09 Fiona Ferro
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
0-2 6-12 L
04/09 Alice Tubello
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 13-10 W
03/09 Lucie Nguyen Tan
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-1 14-13 W
02/09 Sada Nahimana
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 12-1 W
30/08 Nastasja Schunk
W50 Oldenzaal
0-2 9-13 L
29/08 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W50 Oldenzaal
2-1 13-14 W
28/08 Britt Du Pree
W50 Oldenzaal
2-0 12-6 W
26/08 Enola Chiesa
W50 Oldenzaal
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Francesca Pace?

Our model gives 60% to Francesca Pace, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.