Tennis · W35 Reus · 10/09, 10:00

Prediction: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Ruth Roura Llaverias

Team pages: Carlota Martinez Cirez · Ruth Roura Llaverias

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Carlota Martinez Cirez Ruth Roura Llaverias
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Carlota Martinez Cirez 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLLWWWLW
Ruth Roura Llaverias 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carlota Martinez Cirez 1482 · Ruth Roura Llaverias 1553
Carlota Martinez CirezRuth Roura Llaverias
Our model40%60%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ruth Roura Llaverias (rating 1482 vs 1553).
  • Ruth Roura Llaverias is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Carlota Martinez Cirez makes many double faults (6.1/match).

Statistics

Carlota Martinez CirezRuth Roura Llaverias
Win %40%70%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.41.5-0.8
Games (G-P)11.5-11.712.1-9.3
Aces0.20.7
Double faults6.12.7
1st serve %59.7%59.6%
Break %60.1%55.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carlota Martinez Cirez

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Min Liu
W35 Reus · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
03/09 Anastasija Cvetkovic
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
02/09 Valeria Garnevska
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
26/08 Beatrise Zeltina
W50 Oldenzaal
1-2 16-19 L
12/08 Lucie Petruzelova
W35 Bydgoszcz
1-2 9-16 L
29/07 Margaux Maquet
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 5-12 L
23/07 Nuria Brancaccio
W75 Cordenons
0-2 5-12 L
22/07 Lavinia Tanasie
W75 Cordenons
2-1 16-8 W
21/07 Amandine Monnot
W75 Cordenons
2-1 19-13 W
17/07 Katerina Tsygourova
W35 Torino
1-2 12-16 L

Ruth Roura Llaverias

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Ekaterina Kazionova
W35 Reus · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
05/09 Ashley Lahey
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
04/09 Aleksandra Pozarenko
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
03/09 Valentina Abril Bruno
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
01/09 Min Liu
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-1 18-13 W
18/08 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Erwitte
0-2 10-14 L
15/08 Anna Siskova
W50 Hamburg
0-2 3-12 L
14/08 Sohyun Park
W50 Hamburg
2-0 12-5 W
13/08 Anastasia Tikhonova
W50 Hamburg
2-0 12-3 W
12/08 Victoria Brand
W50 Hamburg
2-1 17-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Ruth Roura Llaverias?

Our model gives 55% to Ruth Roura Llaverias, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.