Prediction: Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Matilde Paoletti
Team pages: Marianne Argyrokastriti · Matilde Paoletti
Prediction summary
Winner
Marianne Argyrokastriti
Matilde Paoletti
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Marianne Argyrokastriti
6-4 (W-L)
Matilde Paoletti
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marianne Argyrokastriti 1547 · Matilde Paoletti 1567
| Marianne Argyrokastriti | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Marianne Argyrokastriti makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Marianne Argyrokastriti | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10 | 11.8-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 63.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marianne Argyrokastriti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Jessica Pieri W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Esther Lopez Alcaraz W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Ashley Lahey W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/09 | Laura Mair W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Adriana Monlleo Ramos W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Gabriela Paun W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Martina Colmegna W35 Trieste |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Fabiola Marino W35 Trieste |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Maria Andrienko W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Ekaterina Agureeva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
Matilde Paoletti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Sophie Greiner W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Gabriela Ce W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Mia Ristic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Elena Milutinovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/08 | Despina Papamichail W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 10/08 | Kristina Novak W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Ekaterina Perelygina W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Matilde Paoletti?
Our model gives 67% to Matilde Paoletti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.