Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 10/09, 05:00
Prediction: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda
Team pages: Philip Sekulic · Koki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Philip Sekulic
Koki Matsuda
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Philip Sekulic
3-7 (W-L)
Koki Matsuda
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Philip Sekulic 1453 · Koki Matsuda 1529
| Philip Sekulic | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Koki Matsuda (rating 1453 vs 1529).
- Koki Matsuda is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Philip Sekulic | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-12.3 | 12.5-13.3 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 29.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Philip Sekulic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Sora Fukuda M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Strong Kirchheimer Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Blake Ellis Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 16/05 | Keegan Smith Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Jake Delaney Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Fanming Meng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 18/08 | Chen Hui Ho M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Kerem Yilmaz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda?
Our model gives 53% to Philip Sekulic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.