Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 10/09, 09:00
Prediction: Rio Noguchi vs Omar Jasika
Team pages: Rio Noguchi · Omar Jasika
Prediction summary
Winner
Rio Noguchi
Omar Jasika
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Rio Noguchi
5-5 (W-L)
Omar Jasika
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rio Noguchi
1–0
Omar Jasika
(1 last)
- 29 Oct2-0 14-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rio Noguchi 1518 · Omar Jasika 1568
| Rio Noguchi | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Omar Jasika (rating 1518 vs 1568).
- Head-to-head: Rio Noguchi 1–0 Omar Jasika (1).
Statistics
| Rio Noguchi | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.3 | 10.9-8 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 55.5% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Rio Noguchi 1 – 0 Omar Jasika (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rio Noguchi 1–0 Omar Jasika
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/22 Challenger Playford | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rio Noguchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Rigele Te Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Omar Jasika
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/09 | Yaojie Zeng Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Aoran Wang Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Yunseong Chung M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rio Noguchi vs Omar Jasika?
Our model gives 51% to Rio Noguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.