Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 10/09, 09:00
Prediction: Jie Cui vs Yi Zhou
Prediction summary
Winner
Jie Cui
Yi Zhou
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jie Cui
6-4 (W-L)
Yi Zhou
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jie Cui
1–2
Yi Zhou
(3 last)
- 26 Jan0-2 9-13L
- 18 Oct1-2 16-19L
- 29 Apr2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jie Cui 1489 · Yi Zhou 1516
| Jie Cui | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yi Zhou dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 44.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jie Cui 1–2 Yi Zhou (3).
Statistics
| Jie Cui | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12 | 12.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Jie Cui 1 – 2 Yi Zhou (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jie Cui 1–2 Yi Zhou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/26 Challenger Phan Thiet | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/10/25 Challenger Shenzhen | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 29/04/25 Challenger Guangzhou | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jie Cui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | James Trotter Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthew Forbes M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Yi Zhou
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Michael Geerts Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Robin Catry Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jie Cui vs Yi Zhou?
Our model gives 61% to Yi Zhou, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.