Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 10/09, 09:00
Prediction: Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka
Team pages: Bernard Tomic · Ilya Ivashka
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernard Tomic
Ilya Ivashka
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Bernard Tomic
4-6 (W-L)
Ilya Ivashka
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bernard Tomic
0–1
Ilya Ivashka
(1 last)
- 15 Jul0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernard Tomic 1552 · Ilya Ivashka 1555
| Bernard Tomic | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Bernard Tomic 0–1 Ilya Ivashka (1).
Statistics
| Bernard Tomic | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12.1 | 12.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 77.8% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Bernard Tomic 0 – 1 Ilya Ivashka (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bernard Tomic 0–1 Ilya Ivashka
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/19 ATP Newport | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernard Tomic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 31/07 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Karen Khachanov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Alex Hernandez ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/07 | Miguel Tobon ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
Ilya Ivashka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Melvin Kumar Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernard Tomic vs Ilya Ivashka?
Our model gives 50% to Bernard Tomic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.