Tennis · Challenger Seville · 09/09, 19:30
Prediction: Raul Brancaccio vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Team pages: Raul Brancaccio · Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Prediction summary
Winner
Raul Brancaccio
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Raul Brancaccio
5-5 (W-L)
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Raul Brancaccio
1–1
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
(2 last)
- 28 May1-2 13-17L
- 27 Mar2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raul Brancaccio 1460 · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1520
| Raul Brancaccio | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pablo Llamas Ruiz (rating 1460 vs 1520).
- Note: Raul Brancaccio makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Raul Brancaccio | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.5 | 12.6-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Raul Brancaccio 1 – 1 Pablo Llamas Ruiz (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raul Brancaccio 1–1 Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/22 M25 Mataro | 1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/03/22 Challenger Marbella | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raul Brancaccio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Thiago Seyboth Wild US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 10/08 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Harold Mayot Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Vitaliy Sachko US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Alex Bolt US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raul Brancaccio vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
Our model gives 68% to Pablo Llamas Ruiz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.