Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 09/09, 03:30
Prediction: Kate Fakih vs Lily Fairclough
Team pages: Kate Fakih · Lily Fairclough
Prediction summary
Winner
Kate Fakih
Lily Fairclough
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Kate Fakih
8-2 (W-L)
Lily Fairclough
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kate Fakih 1503 · Lily Fairclough 1550
| Kate Fakih | Lily Fairclough | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lily Fairclough (rating 1503 vs 1550).
Statistics
| Kate Fakih | Lily Fairclough | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.2 | 9.3-8.5 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kate Fakih
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Alyssa Ahn W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Alexis Nguyen W35 Florence |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hina Inoue W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Tatum Evans W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Maria Kononova W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 10/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Sophia Webster W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Annabelle Xu W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Lily Fairclough
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Yilin Yan UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Eva Lopez UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Isabel Cairns UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Emma Tran UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Julie Adele Bedard UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Violet Apisah W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Natsuho Arakawa W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Carolann Delaunay W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Stefani Webb W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kate Fakih vs Lily Fairclough?
Our model gives 58% to Kate Fakih, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.