Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 19/09, 03:30
Prediction: Tiffany Papazian vs Lily Fairclough
Team pages: Tiffany Papazian · Lily Fairclough
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiffany Papazian
Lily Fairclough
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tiffany Papazian
4-6 (W-L)
Lily Fairclough
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiffany Papazian 1469 · Lily Fairclough 1588
| Tiffany Papazian | Lily Fairclough | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lily Fairclough (rating 1469 vs 1588).
- Lily Fairclough is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Lily Fairclough makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Tiffany Papazian | Lily Fairclough | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-9.9 | 11.9-8.1 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 46.7% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiffany Papazian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Martina Puvill UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Elena Goodman UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Chelsea Bluestein UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Mila Mulready UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Kelly Shi UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Nicole Weng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Sage Bergeson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Lily Fairclough
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Martina Puvill UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Matilde Magrini UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Kate Fakih UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Yilin Yan UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Eva Lopez UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Isabel Cairns UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Emma Tran UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiffany Papazian vs Lily Fairclough?
Our model gives 80% to Lily Fairclough, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.