Tennis · Challenger Seville · 09/09, 11:00
Prediction: Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Alejandro Moro Canas
Team pages: Facundo Diaz Acosta · Alejandro Moro Canas
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Alejandro Moro Canas
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Diaz Acosta
7-3 (W-L)
Alejandro Moro Canas
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Facundo Diaz Acosta
1–0
Alejandro Moro Canas
(1 last)
- 23 May2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1579 · Alejandro Moro Canas 1528
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Facundo Diaz Acosta (rating 1579 vs 1528).
- Head-to-head: Facundo Diaz Acosta 1–0 Alejandro Moro Canas (1).
Statistics
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11 | 12.1-12.1 |
| Aces | 3 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
H2H · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1 – 0 Alejandro Moro Canas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1–0 Alejandro Moro Canas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/19 M25 Vic | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Quentin Halys US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 17-25 | L |
| 02/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Francesco Forti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Federico Cina ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Alejandro Moro Canas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Remy Bertola US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Alejandro Moro Canas?
Our model gives 64% to Facundo Diaz Acosta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.