Tennis · M25 Sintra · 09/09, 11:00
Prediction: Oscar Weightman vs Michael Wright
Team pages: Oscar Weightman · Michael Wright
Prediction summary
Winner
Oscar Weightman
Michael Wright
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Oscar Weightman
5-5 (W-L)
Michael Wright
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oscar Weightman 1492 · Michael Wright 1495
| Oscar Weightman | Michael Wright | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Michael Wright dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 48.5% break avg.
- Note: Michael Wright makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Oscar Weightman | Michael Wright | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.9 | 11.7-11.3 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oscar Weightman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Turku |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Turku |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Marcus Walters M15 Turku |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Adam Majchrzak Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Michael Wright
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Jared Horwood M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Alex Kobelt M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Barney Fitzpatrick M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Max Benaim M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Dominique Rolland M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 09/06 | Marcos Castro Fabra M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Jeffrey Fradkin M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 19/12 | Stijn Paardekooper UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/12 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/12 | Colson Wells UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oscar Weightman vs Michael Wright?
Our model gives 72% to Oscar Weightman, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.