Tennis · M25 Sintra · 09/09, 11:00

Prediction: Patrick Schoen vs Maxime St-Hilaire

Team pages: Patrick Schoen · Maxime St-Hilaire

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Patrick Schoen Maxime St-Hilaire
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Schoen 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWLLWWL
Maxime St-Hilaire 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWWLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Patrick Schoen 1520 · Maxime St-Hilaire 1503
Patrick SchoenMaxime St-Hilaire
Our model52%48%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Patrick SchoenMaxime St-Hilaire
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.3-1
Games (G-P)11.5-10.211.9-9.4
Aces4.12.4
Double faults1.22.5
1st serve %71.1%67.7%
Break %42.2%45.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Patrick Schoen

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Facundo Mena
Challenger Porto · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
31/08 Matyas Fuele
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-1 14-14 W
30/08 Boris Arias
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/07 Mili Poljicak
Challenger Zug · Clay
0-2 10-14 L
05/07 Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard
1-2 10-15 L
04/07 Tiago Torres
M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/07 Rodrigo Fernandes
M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
02/07 Tiago Pereira
M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard
2-1 16-12 W
01/07 Rigele Te
M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard
2-0 10-6 W
25/06 Eliakim Coulibaly
M25 Porto
1-2 13-13 L

Maxime St-Hilaire

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Duarte Melo
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-2 W
17/08 Taro Daniel
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
15/07 Joaquim Almeida
M15 Rochester
0-2 7-13 L
14/07 Carlos Guerrero Alvarez
M15 Rochester
1-2 11-9 L
09/07 Karl Poling
M25 Laval
1-2 17-20 L
09/07 Alexandre Bergeron
M25 Laval
2-0 12-4 W
06/07 Jacob Rouleau-Mailly
M25 Laval
2-0 12-6 W
05/07 Lucas Nunez
M25 Laval
2-0 12-5 W
29/04 Andreja Petrovic
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
1-2 17-17 L
28/04 Ryan Cozad
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-0 11-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Patrick Schoen vs Maxime St-Hilaire?

Our model gives 71% to Patrick Schoen, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.