Tennis · W35 Reus · 08/09, 13:00

Prediction: Ekaterina Kazionova vs Ruth Roura Llaverias

Team pages: Ekaterina Kazionova · Ruth Roura Llaverias

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Ekaterina Kazionova Ruth Roura Llaverias
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Kazionova 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWWLLLWL
Ruth Roura Llaverias 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ekaterina Kazionova 1461 · Ruth Roura Llaverias 1523
Ekaterina KazionovaRuth Roura Llaverias
Our model41%59%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ruth Roura Llaverias (rating 1461 vs 1523).
  • Ruth Roura Llaverias is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Ekaterina Kazionova makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Ekaterina KazionovaRuth Roura Llaverias
Win %40%70%
Win % · Clay 29% (7) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.5-0.8
Games (G-P)9.7-10.312.1-9
Aces1.10.7
Double faults4.62.5
1st serve %56.3%60.5%
Break %47.3%60%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ekaterina Kazionova

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/07 Margaux Rouvroy
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
26/07 Ekaterina Yashina
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
19/07 Arantxa Rus
WTA Hamburg · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
12/07 Carmen Andreea Herea
WTA Iasi · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
09/07 Rositsa Dencheva
W35 Buzau
0-2 8-12 L
08/07 Federica Sacco
W35 Buzau
2-1 13-11 W
07/07 Ilinca D Amariei
W35 Buzau
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Lucie Nguyen Tan
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
30/06 Liv Boulard
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
25/06 Victoria Pohle
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Ruth Roura Llaverias

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/09 Ashley Lahey
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
04/09 Aleksandra Pozarenko
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
03/09 Valentina Abril Bruno
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
01/09 Min Liu
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-1 18-13 W
18/08 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Erwitte
0-2 10-14 L
15/08 Anna Siskova
W50 Hamburg
0-2 3-12 L
14/08 Sohyun Park
W50 Hamburg
2-0 12-5 W
13/08 Anastasia Tikhonova
W50 Hamburg
2-0 12-3 W
12/08 Victoria Brand
W50 Hamburg
2-1 17-14 W
10/08 Josy Daems
W50 Hamburg
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Kazionova vs Ruth Roura Llaverias?

Our model gives 57% to Ruth Roura Llaverias, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.