Prediction: Sophie Greiner vs Matilde Paoletti
Team pages: Sophie Greiner
Prediction summary
Winner
Sophie Greiner
Matilde Paoletti
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sophie Greiner
7-3 (W-L)
Matilde Paoletti
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sophie Greiner 1498 · Matilde Paoletti 1542
| Sophie Greiner | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matilde Paoletti (rating 1498 vs 1542).
- Note: Sophie Greiner makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Sophie Greiner | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.3 | 11.9-8.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 60.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sophie Greiner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Tina Manescu W35 Erwitte |
1-2 | 8-8 | L |
| 10/08 | Merel Hoedt W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Valentina Steiner W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Angelina Wirges W75 Leipzig |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/08 | Aneta Kucmova W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Rikke De Koning W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Nina Tepic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Noemi La Cagnina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Anastasiia Firman W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Matilde Paoletti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Gabriela Ce W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Mia Ristic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Elena Milutinovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/08 | Despina Papamichail W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 10/08 | Kristina Novak W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Ekaterina Perelygina W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 23/06 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Noemi Maines W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sophie Greiner vs Matilde Paoletti?
Our model gives 74% to Matilde Paoletti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.