Tennis · W35 Reus · 09/09, 10:00

Prediction: Ashley Lahey vs Merel Hoedt

Team pages: Ashley Lahey · Merel Hoedt

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Ashley Lahey Merel Hoedt
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ashley Lahey 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLLWWWLW
Merel Hoedt 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ashley Lahey 1606 · Merel Hoedt 1557
Ashley LaheyMerel Hoedt
Our model57%43%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashley Lahey (rating 1606 vs 1557).
  • Note: Merel Hoedt makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Ashley LaheyMerel Hoedt
Win %90%70%
Win % · Clay 100% (5) 100% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.61.6-0.9
Games (G-P)12.5-7.912.3-9.7
Aces1.70.9
Double faults24.3
1st serve %66%56.3%
Break %54.6%47.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ashley Lahey

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-1 14-14 W
05/09 Ruth Roura Llaverias
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
04/09 Iva Primorac Pavicic
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
03/09 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
02/09 Lucia Natal
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
30/08 Ilinca D Amariei
W15 Brasov
2-1 17-13 W
29/08 Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
W15 Brasov
2-1 16-12 W
27/08 Stefania Bojica
W15 Brasov
2-0 12-3 W
26/08 Simona Cucu
W15 Brasov
2-0 12-3 W
14/07 Dasha Ivanova
W35 Dallas
0-2 2-8 L

Merel Hoedt

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Isabelle Cherny
W35 Reus · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
18/08 Vivian Wolff
W50 Prague
0-2 4-12 L
17/08 Anika Jaskova
W50 Prague
2-0 12-5 W
16/08 Karolina Vlckova
W50 Prague
2-0 12-4 W
14/08 Anna Siskova
W50 Hamburg
1-2 13-14 L
13/08 Anastasia Zolotareva
W50 Hamburg
2-1 16-16 W
12/08 Astrid Lew Yan Foon
W50 Hamburg
2-0 10-5 W
10/08 Sophie Greiner
W50 Hamburg
2-1 13-6 W
09/08 Anna Petkovic
W50 Hamburg
2-1 16-13 W
02/08 Josy Daems
W75 Koksijde
1-2 15-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ashley Lahey vs Merel Hoedt?

Our model gives 69% to Ashley Lahey, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.