Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 09/09, 04:00
Prediction: Marat Sharipov vs Taro Daniel
Team pages: Marat Sharipov · Taro Daniel
Prediction summary
Winner
Marat Sharipov
Taro Daniel
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Marat Sharipov
5-5 (W-L)
Taro Daniel
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marat Sharipov
1–0
Taro Daniel
(1 last)
- 09 Sept2-1 14-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marat Sharipov 1585 · Taro Daniel 1569
| Marat Sharipov | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Marat Sharipov 1–0 Taro Daniel (1).
Statistics
| Marat Sharipov | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.4 | 12.5-8.8 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 78.3% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 60.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Marat Sharipov 1 – 0 Taro Daniel (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marat Sharipov 1–0 Taro Daniel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/25 Challenger Guangzhou | 2-1 | 14-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marat Sharipov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 15/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Alexander Vasilev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Franco Ariel Vazquez M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Aaron Funk M25 Wetzlar |
1-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Tomas Lanik M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 22/07 | Patrick Jozwicki M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Taro Daniel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Andrew Johnson US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Jan Choinski Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Duncan Chan Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Maxime St-Hilaire Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marat Sharipov vs Taro Daniel?
Our model gives 58% to Taro Daniel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.