Tennis · Challenger Seville · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Tiago Pereira vs Marco Trungelliti
Team pages: Tiago Pereira · Marco Trungelliti
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Pereira
Marco Trungelliti
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Pereira
5-5 (W-L)
Marco Trungelliti
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tiago Pereira
0–1
Marco Trungelliti
(1 last)
- 30 Sept0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Pereira 1493 · Marco Trungelliti 1514
| Tiago Pereira | Marco Trungelliti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Tiago Pereira 0–1 Marco Trungelliti (1).
- Note: Marco Trungelliti makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Tiago Pereira | Marco Trungelliti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.3-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-13 | 13.3-14.5 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 38% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
H2H · Tiago Pereira 0 – 1 Marco Trungelliti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tiago Pereira 0–1 Marco Trungelliti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/25 Challenger Braga | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Niccolo Catini M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 12/08 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Marco Trungelliti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 12-21 | L |
| 31/08 | Juncheng Shang US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 20-25 | W |
| 16/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Pereira vs Marco Trungelliti?
Our model gives 65% to Marco Trungelliti, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.