Tennis · Challenger Seville · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Gerard Campana Lee vs Max Alcala Gurri
Team pages: Gerard Campana Lee · Max Alcala Gurri
Prediction summary
Winner
Gerard Campana Lee
Max Alcala Gurri
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gerard Campana Lee
3-7 (W-L)
Max Alcala Gurri
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gerard Campana Lee 1589 · Max Alcala Gurri 1524
| Gerard Campana Lee | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gerard Campana Lee (rating 1589 vs 1524).
Statistics
| Gerard Campana Lee | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.6 | 10.8-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gerard Campana Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Filip Pieczonka M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Valentin Basel M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Jiri Cizek M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Max Alcala Gurri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Zsombor Piros US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gerard Campana Lee vs Max Alcala Gurri?
Our model gives 59% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.