Tennis · Challenger Seville · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alexander Ritschard
Team pages: Roberto Carballes Baena · Alexander Ritschard
Prediction summary
Winner
Roberto Carballes Baena
Alexander Ritschard
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Roberto Carballes Baena
6-4 (W-L)
Alexander Ritschard
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roberto Carballes Baena 1511 · Alexander Ritschard 1612
| Roberto Carballes Baena | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Ritschard (rating 1511 vs 1612).
- Alexander Ritschard is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Roberto Carballes Baena | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.4 | 12.6-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roberto Carballes Baena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Mark Ceban Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alexander Ritschard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Sergi Perez Contri Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Carlos Sanchez Jover M25 Santander |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 22/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Santander |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Santander |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alexander Ritschard?
Our model gives 54% to Alexander Ritschard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.