Tennis · Challenger Seville · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Gonzalo Bueno
Team pages: Carlos Sanchez Jover · Gonzalo Bueno
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Gonzalo Bueno
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Sanchez Jover
6-4 (W-L)
Gonzalo Bueno
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Carlos Sanchez Jover
1–0
Gonzalo Bueno
(1 last)
- 21 Jan2-1 15-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Sanchez Jover 1591 · Gonzalo Bueno 1547
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Sanchez Jover (rating 1591 vs 1547).
- Carlos Sanchez Jover is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Carlos Sanchez Jover 1–0 Gonzalo Bueno (1).
Statistics
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-8.3 | 9.3-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 27.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Carlos Sanchez Jover 1 – 0 Gonzalo Bueno (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carlos Sanchez Jover 1–0 Gonzalo Bueno
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/24 Challenger Punta del Este | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Sanchez Jover
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Sergi Fita Juan Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Santander |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M25 Santander |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Carles Cordoba M25 Santander |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Gonzalo Bueno
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Billy Harris US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Gonzalo Bueno?
Our model gives 53% to Gonzalo Bueno, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.