Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 08/09, 08:00
Prediction: Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli vs Georgios Nouchakis
Team pages: Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli
Georgios Nouchakis
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli
7-3 (W-L)
Georgios Nouchakis
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli 1533 · Georgios Nouchakis 1518
| Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli | Georgios Nouchakis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli | Georgios Nouchakis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-9.1 | 9.1-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 55.4% |
| Break % | 52% | 66.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Cristian Campese M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Turku |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 11/08 | Frans Ronnholm M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/08 | Sten Hiiesalu M15 Turku |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Sebastian Gima M25 Bacau |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Andrea Brignacca M25 Bacau |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 21/05 | Maks Kasnikowski M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Aleksandar Lavrnja M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Valeriy Martishev M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/04 | Luke Hooper M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Georgios Nouchakis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Raghav Jaisinghani UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Nikolaos Koutroubis UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Andreas Messis UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 31/05 | Gregorio Biondolillo M15 Tsaghkadzor Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/05 | William Nolan M25 Nottingham Qual |
1-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 25/01 | Nicolas Rosenzweig M25 Glasgow |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Luke Hooper M25 Glasgow |
1-1 | 9-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Sean Hodkin M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli vs Georgios Nouchakis?
Our model gives 58% to Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.