Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 17/09, 09:00
Prediction: Paul Jubb vs S Mert Ozdemir
Team pages: Paul Jubb · S Mert Ozdemir
Prediction summary
Winner
Paul Jubb
S Mert Ozdemir
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Paul Jubb
6-4 (W-L)
S Mert Ozdemir
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paul Jubb 1528 · S Mert Ozdemir 1481
| Paul Jubb | S Mert Ozdemir | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 93% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paul Jubb (rating 1528 vs 1481).
- Note: S Mert Ozdemir makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Paul Jubb | S Mert Ozdemir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.4 | 10.5-11 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paul Jubb
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Sergey Petrov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Aradhya Kshitij M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Prasad Ingale M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Elias Ymer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Ajeet Rai Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Karl Friberg M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
S Mert Ozdemir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Daniil Ovcharenko M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Mirza Basic Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Matias Reyniak M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 01/07 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Daniel Blazka M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/04 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen Challenger Abidjan Qual · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 02/02 | Rocco Piatti M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/01 | Rocco Piatti M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paul Jubb vs S Mert Ozdemir?
Our model gives 77% to Paul Jubb, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.