Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 17/09, 09:00

Prediction: Chirag Duhan vs Pranav Karthik

Team pages: Chirag Duhan · Pranav Karthik

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Chirag Duhan Pranav Karthik
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Chirag Duhan 10-0 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWWW
Pranav Karthik 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chirag Duhan 1576 · Pranav Karthik 1485
Chirag DuhanPranav Karthik
Our model63%37%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chirag Duhan (rating 1576 vs 1485).
  • Chirag Duhan is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Chirag DuhanPranav Karthik
Win %70%30%
Win % · Clay 78% (9) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.61-1.5
Games (G-P)13-10.49.9-12.9
Aces5.22.4
Double faults3.73.7
1st serve %65.5%65.6%
Break %48.5%25.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chirag Duhan

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Ammar Faleh Alhogbani
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
09/09 Andriy Poritskyy
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
06/09 Dev Javia
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 12-17 L
05/09 Jake Fellows
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 19-16 W
04/09 Marat Salbiev
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
03/09 Rohan Mehra
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
02/09 Amr Asrawy
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
27/08 Dmitry Bessonov
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-1 12-13 L
26/08 Rishit Dakhane
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
04/08 Iliyas Maratuly
M15 Astana
1-2 12-12 L

Pranav Karthik

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Karim El Feky
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
09/09 Ivan Gretskiy
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 12-14 L
02/09 Sander Jong
M15 Haren
0-2 3-12 L
25/08 Pieter De Lange
M25 Oldenzaal
1-2 11-16 L
04/08 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Poprad
1-2 9-15 L
29/07 Iiro Vasa
M15 Wels
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Hazem Naw
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
30/06 Louis Tessa
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 17-13 W
29/06 Mateja Stanisavljevic
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
24/06 Pieter De Lange
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
1-2 12-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chirag Duhan vs Pranav Karthik?

Our model gives 64% to Chirag Duhan, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.