Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 17/09, 09:00
Prediction: Ivan Gretskiy vs Keshav Chopra
Team pages: Ivan Gretskiy · Keshav Chopra
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Gretskiy
Keshav Chopra
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Gretskiy
1-9 (W-L)
Keshav Chopra
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ivan Gretskiy
1–0
Keshav Chopra
(1 last)
- 26 Aug2-1 18-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Gretskiy 1461 · Keshav Chopra 1510
| Ivan Gretskiy | Keshav Chopra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Keshav Chopra (rating 1461 vs 1510).
- Keshav Chopra is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ivan Gretskiy 1–0 Keshav Chopra (1).
- Note: Ivan Gretskiy makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Ivan Gretskiy | Keshav Chopra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-12.3 | 12-11.9 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Ivan Gretskiy 1 – 0 Keshav Chopra (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ivan Gretskiy 1–0 Keshav Chopra
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/25 M15 Monastir | 2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Gretskiy
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Aldin Setkic M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 09/09 | Pranav Karthik M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Michal Krajci M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Jake Fellows M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Astana |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Yerassyl Yerdilda M15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Dan Brand M15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Antoni Fabre M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Mariano Tammaro M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Pranav Karthik M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Keshav Chopra
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/08 | Juan Jose Bianchi Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-1 | 7-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Felix Roussel M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Henry Lieberman M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Gretskiy vs Keshav Chopra?
Our model gives 71% to Keshav Chopra, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.