Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 09/09, 10:00
Prediction: Lukas Pokorny vs Diego Dedura-Palomero
Team pages: Lukas Pokorny · Diego Dedura-Palomero
Prediction summary
Winner
Lukas Pokorny
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lukas Pokorny
5-5 (W-L)
Diego Dedura-Palomero
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lukas Pokorny 1526 · Diego Dedura-Palomero 1578
| Lukas Pokorny | Diego Dedura-Palomero | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diego Dedura-Palomero (rating 1526 vs 1578).
Statistics
| Lukas Pokorny | Diego Dedura-Palomero | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.5 | 11.5-9.8 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 67% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lukas Pokorny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Andrew Paulson Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Andrea Paolini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alex Barrena Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Frederico Ferreira Silva US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Dominik Recek Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lukas Pokorny vs Diego Dedura-Palomero?
Our model gives 67% to Diego Dedura-Palomero, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.