Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 09/09, 09:30
Prediction: Linang Xiao vs Alexis Galarneau
Team pages: Linang Xiao · Alexis Galarneau
Prediction summary
Winner
Linang Xiao
Alexis Galarneau
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Linang Xiao
5-5 (W-L)
Alexis Galarneau
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Linang Xiao 1472 · Alexis Galarneau 1511
| Linang Xiao | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Linang Xiao | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-13.1 | 11.5-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 45% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linang Xiao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Colin Sinclair M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Xiuyuan Ye M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/05 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/04 | Filip Peliwo M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Blake Ellis Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 02/04 | Colin Sinclair M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/03 | Maxim Zhukov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Alexis Galarneau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Semen Pankin Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Keegan Smith US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Vit Kopriva ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linang Xiao vs Alexis Galarneau?
Our model gives 74% to Alexis Galarneau, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.