Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 09/09, 09:00
Prediction: Thijs Boogaard vs Sergey Petrov
Team pages: Thijs Boogaard · Sergey Petrov
Prediction summary
Winner
Thijs Boogaard
Sergey Petrov
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Thijs Boogaard
6-4 (W-L)
Sergey Petrov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thijs Boogaard 1548 · Sergey Petrov 1522
| Thijs Boogaard | Sergey Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sergey Petrov makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Thijs Boogaard | Sergey Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.3 | 11-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 77.2% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thijs Boogaard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Conor Gannon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Zian Vanderstappen M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 21/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Patrick Schoen M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Goncalo Marques M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Sergey Petrov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Astana |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Astana |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Sora Fukuda M15 Astana |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Saki Tange M15 Astana |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Muzammil Murtaza M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Erasyl Bakhtiyar M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/04 | Tim Vaisman M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/04 | Hugo Soares M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 20/04 | Andre Meinertz M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/04 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thijs Boogaard vs Sergey Petrov?
Our model gives 72% to Thijs Boogaard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.