Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 08/09, 10:30
Prediction: Alexandr Binda vs Tung-Lin Wu
Team pages: Alexandr Binda · Tung-Lin Wu
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandr Binda
Tung-Lin Wu
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandr Binda
5-5 (W-L)
Tung-Lin Wu
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexandr Binda
0–1
Tung-Lin Wu
(1 last)
- 24 Feb0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandr Binda 1529 · Tung-Lin Wu 1471
| Alexandr Binda | Tung-Lin Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandr Binda (rating 1529 vs 1471).
- Head-to-head: Alexandr Binda 0–1 Tung-Lin Wu (1).
Statistics
| Alexandr Binda | Tung-Lin Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.9 | 12.1-12.8 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 36.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Alexandr Binda 0 – 1 Tung-Lin Wu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexandr Binda 0–1 Tung-Lin Wu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 Challenger Pune | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandr Binda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Mikalai Haliak Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Cheng-Peng Hsieh Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/08 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | S Mert Ozdemir Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Adrian Andreev M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Tung-Lin Wu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 21/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Hiroki Moriya M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Taisei Ichikawa M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Justin Boulais Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 03/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/05 | James McCabe Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandr Binda vs Tung-Lin Wu?
Our model gives 60% to Tung-Lin Wu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.