Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 08/09, 12:00
Prediction: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Denis Yevseyev
Team pages: Petr Bar Biryukov · Denis Yevseyev
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Bar Biryukov
Denis Yevseyev
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Bar Biryukov
5-5 (W-L)
Denis Yevseyev
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Petr Bar Biryukov
1–0
Denis Yevseyev
(1 last)
- 09 Oct2-1 15-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Bar Biryukov 1506 · Denis Yevseyev 1504
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Denis Yevseyev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Petr Bar Biryukov dominates on serve: 9.7 aces and 44.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Petr Bar Biryukov 1–0 Denis Yevseyev (1).
- Note: Petr Bar Biryukov makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Denis Yevseyev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.8 | 11.2-11.7 |
| Aces | 9.7 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 76.4% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Petr Bar Biryukov 1 – 0 Denis Yevseyev (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Petr Bar Biryukov 1–0 Denis Yevseyev
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/24 Challenger Hangzhou | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Bar Biryukov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Qian Sun M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/08 | James Van Herzeele M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/08 | Zhiheng Xia M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Jie Cui Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Grigory Shebekin M15 Astana |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Damir Zhalgasbay M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Denis Yevseyev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Mirza Basic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Jannik Maute M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 18/08 | Matteo Covato M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Noel Larwig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/08 | Yanki Erel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Bar Biryukov vs Denis Yevseyev?
Our model gives 52% to Petr Bar Biryukov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.