Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 08/09, 08:00

Prediction: Martin Borisiouk vs Koki Matsuda

Team pages: Martin Borisiouk · Koki Matsuda

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Martin Borisiouk Koki Matsuda
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Borisiouk 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWLLWW
Koki Matsuda 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Martin Borisiouk 1573 · Koki Matsuda 1541
Martin BorisioukKoki Matsuda
Our model55%45%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Martin BorisioukKoki Matsuda
Win %80%60%
Win % · Hard 86% (7) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.61.3-1.2
Games (G-P)13.1-8.212.4-13.1
Aces8.67.2
Double faults3.11.7
1st serve %84.5%68.2%
Break %39.5%29.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Martin Borisiouk

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Ethan Cook
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
06/09 Takuya Kumasaka
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
09/08 Karan Singh
Challenger Astana · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
07/08 Arnav Vijay Paparkar
M15 Astana
1-2 16-15 L
06/08 Egor Agafonov
M15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
04/08 Arseniy Trebukhin
M15 Astana
2-0 12-2 W
12/07 Arvid Nordquist
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 14-11 W
11/07 Hoyoung Roh
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
10/07 Daniil Sarksian
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Amirkhamza Nasridinov
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 14-7 W

Koki Matsuda

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
01/09 Jake Delaney
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
31/08 Fanming Meng
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
2-1 15-15 W
30/08 Kaito Uesugi
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
2-1 19-17 W
18/08 Chen Hui Ho
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
10/08 Hayato Matsuoka
Challenger Astana · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
07/08 Gijs Brouwer
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
1-2 12-13 L
06/08 Paul Inchauspe
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
04/08 Kerem Yilmaz
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
03/08 Daniil Ostapenkov
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Martin Borisiouk vs Koki Matsuda?

Our model gives 50% to Martin Borisiouk, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.