Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 08/09, 05:00
Prediction: Timofei Derepasko vs Sam Ryan Ziegann
Team pages: Timofei Derepasko · Sam Ryan Ziegann
Prediction summary
Winner
Timofei Derepasko
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Timofei Derepasko
6-4 (W-L)
Sam Ryan Ziegann
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timofei Derepasko 1520 · Sam Ryan Ziegann 1575
| Timofei Derepasko | Sam Ryan Ziegann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sam Ryan Ziegann (rating 1520 vs 1575).
Statistics
| Timofei Derepasko | Sam Ryan Ziegann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-8.2 | 12.1-11 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timofei Derepasko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Minhthien Nguyen Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/08 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Egor Shcherbakov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Loan Lestir M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mattias Pisanu M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Marko Milosavljevic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Yuta Kawahashi Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Christopher Papa Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Leo Borg M15 Bali |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Stefan Storch M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Eric Ahren Moonga M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Fanming Meng M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/08 | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Sam Oster UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timofei Derepasko vs Sam Ryan Ziegann?
Our model gives 58% to Timofei Derepasko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

