Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 08/09, 05:00

Prediction: Timofei Derepasko vs Sam Ryan Ziegann

Team pages: Timofei Derepasko · Sam Ryan Ziegann

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Timofei Derepasko Sam Ryan Ziegann
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Timofei Derepasko 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLLWWLWW
Sam Ryan Ziegann 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Timofei Derepasko 1520 · Sam Ryan Ziegann 1575
Timofei DerepaskoSam Ryan Ziegann
Our model42%58%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sam Ryan Ziegann (rating 1520 vs 1575).

Statistics

Timofei DerepaskoSam Ryan Ziegann
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 100% (2) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-11.5-0.9
Games (G-P)9.2-8.212.1-11
Aces2.64.8
Double faults3.42.5
1st serve %70.1%67.8%
Break %44.9%52.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Timofei Derepasko

WWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Taiyo Yamanaka
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
06/09 Minhthien Nguyen
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
21/08 Dimitar Kisimov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
20/08 Alessandro Bellifemine
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
19/08 Egor Shcherbakov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
12/08 Sean Cuenin
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
22/07 Loan Lestir
M15 Rognac
0-2 7-12 L
17/07 Pierre Delage
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/07 Mattias Pisanu
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
09/07 Marko Milosavljevic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 11-15 L

Sam Ryan Ziegann

WWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Yuta Kawahashi
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
06/09 Christopher Papa
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
04/09 Leo Borg
M15 Bali
1-2 14-18 L
03/09 Stefan Storch
M15 Bali
2-0 12-7 W
01/09 Eric Ahren Moonga
M15 Bali
2-0 12-7 W
26/08 Chan-Yeong Oh
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/08 Fanming Meng
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L
07/08 Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard
1-2 16-18 L
06/08 Sam Oster
UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
05/08 Jonas Hahn
UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard
2-1 12-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Timofei Derepasko vs Sam Ryan Ziegann?

Our model gives 58% to Timofei Derepasko, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.