Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 07/09, 11:30
Prediction: Lukas Pokorny vs Andrew Paulson
Team pages: Lukas Pokorny · Andrew Paulson
Prediction summary
Winner
Lukas Pokorny
Andrew Paulson
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lukas Pokorny
5-5 (W-L)
Andrew Paulson
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lukas Pokorny 1497 · Andrew Paulson 1474
| Lukas Pokorny | Andrew Paulson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Andrew Paulson makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Lukas Pokorny | Andrew Paulson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.4 | 9.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lukas Pokorny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Andrea Paolini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alex Barrena Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Andrew Paulson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Dominik Recek Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Stefan Latinov Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/04 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Menorca · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Menorca · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/04 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Menorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lukas Pokorny vs Andrew Paulson?
Our model gives 53% to Andrew Paulson, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.