Tennis · Challenger Seville · 07/09, 10:00
Prediction: Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs Alexander Ritschard
Team pages: Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez · Alexander Ritschard
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Alexander Ritschard
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Ritschard
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez 1534 · Alexander Ritschard 1606
| Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Ritschard (rating 1534 vs 1606).
- Alexander Ritschard is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.1 | 12.6-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Daniel Lara Salmeron M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Andrea Paolini M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Yuto Oki M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Zdenek Derkas UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Tomas Zlatohlavek UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 31/07 | Filip Soderqvist UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
Alexander Ritschard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Sergi Perez Contri Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Carlos Sanchez Jover M25 Santander |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 22/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Santander |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Santander |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Roberto Perez Socas M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs Alexander Ritschard?
Our model gives 75% to Alexander Ritschard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.