Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 07/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mika Brunold vs Matthew William Donald
Team pages: Mika Brunold · Matthew William Donald
Prediction summary
Winner
Mika Brunold
Matthew William Donald
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Brunold
7-3 (W-L)
Matthew William Donald
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mika Brunold
1–0
Matthew William Donald
(1 last)
- 23 Feb2-1 16-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Brunold 1551 · Matthew William Donald 1519
| Mika Brunold | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mika Brunold 1–0 Matthew William Donald (1).
- Note: Matthew William Donald makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Mika Brunold | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.1 | 12.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Mika Brunold 1 – 0 Matthew William Donald (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mika Brunold 1–0 Matthew William Donald
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/24 M15 Monastir | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Brunold
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Raphael Perot Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Liam Gavrielides Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Alex De Gabriele Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Matthew William Donald
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Jelle Sels Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 17/08 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/08 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Lorenzo Bocchi M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Brunold vs Matthew William Donald?
Our model gives 60% to Mika Brunold, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.