Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 07/09, 05:00
Prediction: Denis Yevseyev vs Hanyi Liu
Team pages: Denis Yevseyev · Hanyi Liu
Prediction summary
Winner
Denis Yevseyev
Hanyi Liu
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Denis Yevseyev
5-5 (W-L)
Hanyi Liu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denis Yevseyev 1475 · Hanyi Liu 1546
| Denis Yevseyev | Hanyi Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hanyi Liu (rating 1475 vs 1546).
- Hanyi Liu is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Denis Yevseyev | Hanyi Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12.7 | 11.1-7.5 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 28.5% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denis Yevseyev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Mirza Basic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Jannik Maute M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 18/08 | Matteo Covato M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Noel Larwig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/08 | Yanki Erel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Hanyi Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Ren Nakamura Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Jia Hu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Kosuke Shibano M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denis Yevseyev vs Hanyi Liu?
Our model gives 56% to Denis Yevseyev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.