Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 07/09, 09:00
Prediction: Alexandr Binda vs Mikalai Haliak
Team pages: Alexandr Binda
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandr Binda
Mikalai Haliak
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandr Binda
5-5 (W-L)
Mikalai Haliak
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexandr Binda
0–1
Mikalai Haliak
(1 last)
- 01 Mar1-2 19-21L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandr Binda 1512 · Mikalai Haliak 1466
| Alexandr Binda | Mikalai Haliak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandr Binda (rating 1512 vs 1466).
- Head-to-head: Alexandr Binda 0–1 Mikalai Haliak (1).
- Note: Alexandr Binda makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Alexandr Binda | Mikalai Haliak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.3 | 8.7-8.9 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 55.2% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Alexandr Binda 0 – 1 Mikalai Haliak (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexandr Binda 0–1 Mikalai Haliak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/22 ITF M25 Nur-Sultan | 1-2 | 19-21 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandr Binda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Cheng-Peng Hsieh Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/08 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | S Mert Ozdemir Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Adrian Andreev M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Aaron Gil Garcia Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Mikalai Haliak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 7-9 | L |
| 11/08 | Liangxuan Liu M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
| 09/06 | Pedro Sakamoto M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/04 | Bekkhan Atlangeriev M25 Anning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 7-9 | L |
| 08/04 | Akira Santillan M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 01/04 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 31/03 | Egor Pleshivtsev M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/03 | Michael Zhu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandr Binda vs Mikalai Haliak?
Our model gives 59% to Alexandr Binda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.