Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 08/09, 10:00
Prediction: Marko Topo vs Daniel Elahi Galan
Team pages: Marko Topo · Daniel Elahi Galan
Prediction summary
Winner
Marko Topo
Daniel Elahi Galan
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Marko Topo
5-5 (W-L)
Daniel Elahi Galan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marko Topo 1469 · Daniel Elahi Galan 1546
| Marko Topo | Daniel Elahi Galan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Elahi Galan (rating 1469 vs 1546).
- Marko Topo dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 43.6% break avg.
- Note: Marko Topo makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Marko Topo | Daniel Elahi Galan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.7 | 12.1-11 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marko Topo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Miguel Damas Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 03/08 | Dominik Recek Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Elmer Moller Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Alexander Donski Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Daniel Elahi Galan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Georgi Georgiev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 28/07 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marko Topo vs Daniel Elahi Galan?
Our model gives 62% to Daniel Elahi Galan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.