Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 08/09, 10:00
Prediction: Ognjen Milic vs Alex Barrena
Team pages: Ognjen Milic · Alex Barrena
Prediction summary
Winner
Ognjen Milic
Alex Barrena
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ognjen Milic
7-3 (W-L)
Alex Barrena
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ognjen Milic 1518 · Alex Barrena 1464
| Ognjen Milic | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ognjen Milic (rating 1518 vs 1464).
Statistics
| Ognjen Milic | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.2 | 9.7-11 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 63% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ognjen Milic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Ruslan Tiukaev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ognjen Milic vs Alex Barrena?
Our model gives 52% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.