Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 08/09, 10:00
Prediction: Martin Krumich vs Sebastian Sorger
Team pages: Martin Krumich · Sebastian Sorger
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Krumich
Sebastian Sorger
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Krumich
3-7 (W-L)
Sebastian Sorger
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Krumich 1495 · Sebastian Sorger 1588
| Martin Krumich | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Sorger (rating 1495 vs 1588).
- Sebastian Sorger is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Martin Krumich | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.3 | 11.8-6.3 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 29.2% | 60.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Krumich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Stefano Travaglia ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Sebastian Sorger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Miha Vetrih M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Jan Kupcic M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/08 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Luca Castagnola M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Karlo Kajin M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Krumich vs Sebastian Sorger?
Our model gives 54% to Sebastian Sorger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.