Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 08/09, 10:00

Prediction: Thiago Monteiro vs Max Hans Rehberg

Team pages: Thiago Monteiro · Max Hans Rehberg

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Thiago Monteiro Max Hans Rehberg
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Monteiro 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLWLWWL
Max Hans Rehberg 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWWWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thiago Monteiro 1559 · Max Hans Rehberg 1521
Thiago MonteiroMax Hans Rehberg
Our model55%45%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Thiago MonteiroMax Hans Rehberg
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.3-1.1
Games (G-P)12.9-1012.8-11.2
Aces43.5
Double faults2.72
1st serve %73.3%72.3%
Break %49.5%44.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thiago Monteiro

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Gustavo Heide
Challenger Porto · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
02/09 Mika Petkovic
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-1 16-9 W
31/08 Kimmer Coppejans
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
04/08 Tom Gentzsch
Challenger Hagen · Clay
1-2 14-18 L
03/08 Tommaso Compagnucci
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
02/08 Ivan Gakhov
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-1 18-15 W
31/07 Vilius Gaubas
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
30/07 Andrea Pellegrino
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
28/07 David Jorda Sanchis
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 14-10 W
27/07 Manuel Mazza
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Max Hans Rehberg

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Facundo Mena
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
20/08 Filip Cristian Jianu
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
19/08 Kimmer Coppejans
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
13/08 Saba Purtseladze
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
1-2 13-18 L
11/08 Diego Dedura-Palomero
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
30/07 Daniel Elahi Galan
Challenger Bonn · Clay
1-2 18-18 L
28/07 Stefano Travaglia
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
25/07 Marc-Andrea Huesler
Challenger Zug · Clay
1-2 16-17 L
24/07 Anton Matusevich
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-1 18-14 W
22/07 Zsombor Piros
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thiago Monteiro vs Max Hans Rehberg?

Our model gives 52% to Thiago Monteiro, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.