Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 08/09, 10:00
Prediction: Alex Molcan vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Team pages: Alex Molcan · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Molcan
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Molcan
6-4 (W-L)
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Molcan 1515 · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 1440
| Alex Molcan | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Molcan (rating 1515 vs 1440).
Statistics
| Alex Molcan | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.5 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-13.9 | 9.3-12.1 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 67% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 27.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Molcan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Benjamin Bonzi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 23/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Valentin Royer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Jiri Lehecka Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Daniel Altmaier Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-17 | W |
| 22/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Molcan vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva?
Our model gives 72% to Alex Molcan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.