Tennis · Challenger Seville · 08/09, 11:00
Prediction: Dusan Lajovic vs Martin Landaluce
Team pages: Dusan Lajovic · Martin Landaluce
Prediction summary
Winner
Dusan Lajovic
Martin Landaluce
Estimated games
25.1
Recent form · 10 last
Dusan Lajovic
4-6 (W-L)
Martin Landaluce
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dusan Lajovic
0–1
Martin Landaluce
(1 last)
- 17 Oct0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dusan Lajovic 1516 · Martin Landaluce 1456
| Dusan Lajovic | Martin Landaluce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dusan Lajovic (rating 1516 vs 1456).
- Dusan Lajovic is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Dusan Lajovic 0–1 Martin Landaluce (1).
- Note: Martin Landaluce makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Dusan Lajovic | Martin Landaluce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-13.7 | 13.4-15.7 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 34.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1
H2H · Dusan Lajovic 0 – 1 Martin Landaluce (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dusan Lajovic 0–1 Martin Landaluce
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/25 Challenger Olbia | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dusan Lajovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Coleman Wong US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | David Jorda Sanchis US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 08/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 07/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 05/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 04/08 | James McCabe Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Martin Landaluce
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 22-27 | L |
| 23/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jack Draper ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Michael Zheng ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 15/06 | Terence Atmane ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dusan Lajovic vs Martin Landaluce?
Our model gives 51% to Dusan Lajovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.